Paul Saffo: The Secret to Effective Forecasting - FORA.tv

Paul Saffo: The Secret to Effective Forecasting - FORA.tvJan 11th, 2008. As part of The Long Now Foundation's Seminars About Long-term Thinking, technology forecaster and strategist Paul Saffo presents Embracing Uncertainty: The Secret to Effective Forecasting.

Found this delightful lecture because it contains the notion of "common sense". Here's a forecaster that actually explains his craft with examples that help. He wants us all to become our own forecasters and use more common sense. His ideas are both sensible and intriguing - like the increasing power of city states.